I'm a coach working with several Scrum teams, and I'm trying to gauge whether teams are planning realistic Sprints. One way I look at this is to compare Capacity (what CA and the SAFe people inexplicably call 'Planned Velocity') and Velocity. Capacity is how many things the team thought would fit in the iteration; Velocity is how many things they finished. Typically I use sum of estimates, but also just counting Backlog Items will work, too (especially if some or all of the Sprint Backlog wasn't estimated).
Unfortunately, there's no report or app that will show me Capacity vs. Velocity in Rally. But! I should be able to figure it out based on getting Velocity and Less-than-Accepted counts from either the Iteration Status or Iteration Progress Chart, and squaring that against Scope Changes like this:
[Capacity] + ([Things Added] - [Things Removed]) = [Velocity] + [Unfinished Items]
or put another way:
[Capacity] = [Velocity] + [Unfinished Items] - ([Things Added] - [Things Removed])
Except none of those numbers will reconcile. For example (just using Backlog Item counts instead of points for clarity): Team A completed 5 stories and had 0 unfinished stories at the end of the iteration. But the Scope Change report says that same iteration the team added 7 stories and removed 0 stories. That means that the Iteration should show 12 stories, total but none of the charts show anything but 5 stories (including the velocity chart, iteration progress chart, etc.)
What gives?